Gold surges more than 70% this year, driven by safe-haven demand, de-dollarisation trends, central bank buying and others
[BENGALURU] Gold surged past US$4,500 per ounce for the first time on Wednesday (Dec 24), while silver and platinum also hit record highs.
This comes as investors piled into precious metals to hedge against geopolitical and trade risks, and on expectations of further US rate cuts in 2026.
Spot gold rose 0.2 per cent to US$4,495.39 per ounce by 1.52 pm Singapore time, after touching a record high of US$4,525.19 earlier in the session. US gold futures for February delivery climbed 0.4 per cent to a record high of US$4,522.10.
Silver gained 1.1 per cent to US$72.16 per ounce, after hitting an all-time peak of US$72.70 earlier, while platinum jumped 2.5 per cent to US$2,333.80, after peaking at US$2,377.50.
Palladium climbed almost 3 per cent to US$1,916.69, its highest level in three years.
“Precious metals have become more of a speculative narrative around the idea that, with de-globalisation, you need an asset that can act as a neutral go-between, without sovereign risk particularly as tensions between the US and China persist,” said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive.
Thin year-end liquidity exaggerated recent price moves, but the broader theme was likely to endure, with gold targeting US$5,000 over the next six to 12 months, and silver potentially pushing towards US$80 as markets respond to key psychological levels, Spivak added.
Gold has surged more than 70 per cent this year, its biggest annual gain since 1979, driven by safe-haven demand, expectations of US rate cuts, robust central bank buying, de-dollarisation trends and exchange-traded fund inflows, with traders pricing in two rate cuts next year.
Silver has jumped more than 150 per cent over the same period, outpacing gold on strong investment demand, its inclusion on the US critical minerals list and momentum buying.
Gold and silver have “been hitting the accelerator pedal this week” with fresh record highs, reflecting their appeal as stores of value amid expectations of lower US rates and lingering global debt, said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.
Platinum and palladium, primarily used in automotive catalytic converters to reduce emissions, have surged this year on tight mine supply, tariff uncertainty and a rotation from gold investment demand, with platinum up about 160 per cent and palladium gaining more than 100 per cent in the year to date.
“What we’re seeing in platinum and palladium is largely catch-up,” Spivak said, adding that the thin nature of those markets leave them vulnerable to sharp swings, even as they broadly track gold, once liquidity returns. REUTERS
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