[LUTON] It’s possible for Apple to move its iPhone production to the US, but it would almost double the cost of making the device while creating logistical headaches, according to the Bank of America (BOA).
“The cost of an iPhone can increase 25 per cent purely on higher labour cost in the US,” a group of analysts led by Wamsi Mohan wrote in a note to clients on Wednesday (Apr 9).
While the US tech giant can find domestic labour for assembly, a “significant portion” of parts used in manufacturing the iPhone would still be assembled in China and imported to the US, they added.
Assuming Apple has to pay the reciprocal tariffs on those imports, its total cost would rise 90 per cent or more, they estimated.
The estimate comes as US President Donald Trump zeroes in on China for his trade fight.
His administration on Wednesday paused its reciprocal tariffs on dozens of countries for 90 days, but increased its duties on China to a staggering 125 per cent. Meanwhile, China slapped 84 per cent retaliatory levies on American goods.
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Apple shares soared on the news and they are up by more than 10 per cent for their best day since July 2020. But the stock has also taken a beating this year, losing 23 per cent. Overall, it is down 14 per cent since Trump’s tariff announcement on Apr 2, erasing about US$479 billion in market capitalisation.
Rosenblatt Securities warned last week that levies could “blow up” the stock.
Wedbush’s Dan Ives, a long-time technology bull, cut his price target, noting that a tariff fight would be a “complete disaster” for the company. Meanwhile, fear of price increases spurred iPhone panic buying last weekend.
For Apple to make relocating its final assembly of iPhones to the US viable, it would need tariff waivers on components and sub-assemblies manufactured outside of the country, Mohan wrote. However, he does not see this happening.
“Unless it becomes clear as to how permanent the new tariffs are, we do not expect Apple to take the step of moving manufacturing into the US,” said Mohan, who holds a buy rating and a US$250 price target on the stock, which is currently trading above US$190.
“We do expect, however, that Apple will continue to diversify its supply chain, and also increase production of iPhones in other countries such as India.” BLOOMBERG
